眞鍋聡良

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Diary

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

Geoffrey Hinton's latest veiw on AI. (4/4)

"There's two issues, do you understand how it's working, and do you understand how to make it safe. We understand quite a bit about how it's working, but not nearly enough. So it can still do lots of things that surprise us and we don't understand how to make it safe."

11 Mar 2025・05:08

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

Geoffrey Hinton's latest veiw on AI. (3/4)

Q: What's your current feeling about the number of people around the world who are going to suddenly lose their jobs because of AI and their existence?

A: In the past, new technologies haven't caused massive job losses. When ATMs came in bank, tellers didn't all lose their jobs. They just started doing more complicated things and they had many smaller branches of Banks and so on. But for this technology, this is more like the Industrial Revolution. In the industrial revolution, machines made human strength more or less irrelevant. You didn't have people digging ditches anymore cuz machines are just better at it. I think these are going to make sort of mundane intelligence more or less irrelevant. People doing clerical jobs are going to just be replaced by machines that do it cheaper and better. So I am worried that there's going to be massive job losses. And that would be good if the increase in productivity made us all better off. Big increases in productivity ought to be good for people. But in our Society they make the rich richer and the poor poorer.

11 Mar 2025・04:56

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

Geoffrey Hinton's latest veiw on AI. Discussion with Andrew Marr. (2/4)

Marr: You're talking about AI as if they have full Consciousness. Now, all the way through the development of computers and AI, people have talked about Consciousness. Do you think that Consciousness has perhaps already arrived inside AI?

Hinton: Yes, I do. So let me give you a little test. Suppose I take one neuron in your brain, one brain cell, and I replace it by a little piece of nanotechnology that behaves exactly the same way. So it's getting pings coming in from other neurons and it's responding to those by sending out pings, and it responds in exactly the same way as the brain cell responded. I just replaced one brain cell. Are you still conscious? I think you say you were.

Marr: Absolutely yes. I don't suppose I'd notice.

Hinton: And I think you can see where this argument's going.

Marr: I can, yes. I absolutely can. So when you talk "they want to do this or they want to do that", there is a real "they" there as it were.

Hinton: There might well be, yes. So there's all sorts of things we have only the Diest understanding of at present about the nature of people, and what it means to be a being, and what it means to have a self. We don't understand those things very well, and they're becoming crucial to understand because we're now creating beings.

Marr: So this is a kind of philosophical perhaps, even spiritual crisis as well as a practical one.

Hinton: Absolutely yes.

11 Mar 2025・04:53

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

Geoffrey Hinton's latest veiw on AI. (1/4)

Q: You say they try to get more control as if they are already thinking devices, as if they think in a in a way analogous to the way we think. Is that really what you believe?

A: Yes, the best model we have of how we think is these things. There was an old model for a long time in AI, where the idea was that thought was applying rules to symbolic expressions in your head. And most people in AI thought it has to be like that, that's the only way it could work. There were a few crazy people who said, "no it's a big neural network, and it works by all these neurons interacting". It turns out that's been much better at doing reasoning than anything the symbolic AI people could produce. And now it's doing reasoning using neural networks.

‘Godfather of AI’ predicts it will take over the world | LBC, YouTube

11 Mar 2025・04:50

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

I learned some interesting facts in terms of building the original iPhone. Slide to unlock feature was born when designer went to bathroom onboard a plane and saw the lock mechanism of the compartment. The key factor of the display, multi-touch technology was in fact invented outside of Apple, by a company called FingerWorks. Building the prototype required engineers to work day and night, and some of them divorced because of it.

The Struggle of Building the Original iPhone - The Untold Story, ColdFusion, YouTube

6 Mar 2025・19:25

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

Story of a operating system inventor in 1990s, Gary Kildall. He founded a company called Digital Research at the time which IBM was the biggest tech company. Few years later, Bill Gates's Microsoft made an agreement to licens MS-DOS to IBM computers, later called the greatest deal in history. In contrast, Gary lost the chance because he was not at home when IBM guys visited him to negotiate. This misfortune is conversary called, one of the biggest business failures in history.

I knew that what changes the course of events is not just efforts and talents, but luck as well.

サムネイル

The Man Who COULD Have Been Bill Gates [Gary Kildall], ColdFusion, YouTube

6 Mar 2025・19:18

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

An existing humanoid robot's details explained. Wrinkles and expressions on their face let robots adopt naturally to human society, muscle movement of the arms enables them to do various tasks. This is a video of Ameca designed by UK based company Engineered Arts from February 2022, and today in 2025, we see some commercial humanoid robots with no facial expressions such as Optimus of Tesla, NEO Gamma of 1x Technologies and more. I couldn't help wondering which concept will hold more presence within this field in the near future, emotional connections, or efficiency and economic rationality?

How This Humanoid Robot Was Made - WIRED

6 Mar 2025・19:10

Manabe Akira @manabeakira.com

This latest WIRED video let us explore how the iPhone 16 series physically made up. Understanding and feeling the complexity and simplicity inside the phone by actually seeing the structure made me curious, and more than that, grateful for the magical world — which is built up with countless wisdoms and efforts — I live in.

iPhone 16 Pro Teardown - How Every Single Piece Inside Works - WIRED

6 Mar 2025・18:57